Chris Giles

Wednesday, 22 November, 2023

US inequality

What if US income inequality has not risen?

New research turns old certainties on its head and raises profound questions about American society

Tuesday, 21 November, 2023

Chris Giles on Central Banks

Emerging market central banks may be trumping the Fed and ECB Premium

Policymakers in advanced markets have lessons to learn from Latin America and Asia, though caveats should be noted

Tuesday, 14 November, 2023

Chris Giles on Central Banks

Japan’s elusive wage-price spiral Premium

The central bank rightly still worries inflation will be too low

Thursday, 9 November, 2023

Renewable energy

Progress towards net zero is slow but steady

A difficult autumn of news is masking real advances in the most important areas

Tuesday, 7 November, 2023

Chris Giles on Central Banks

Should we believe what central bankers are saying? Premium

There has been a lot of talk in recent weeks — not all of it was informative

Tuesday, 31 October, 2023

Chris Giles on Central Banks

Central banks hold interest rates at a scary time Premium

The Bank of Canada and European Central Bank’s thinking diverges on economic shocks

Wednesday, 25 October, 2023

UK employment

The UK’s ‘official’ labour data is becoming a nonsense

How can we make economic policy if the figures we rely on are problematic?

Tuesday, 24 October, 2023

Chris Giles on Central Banks

Chris Giles on inflation crimes and misdemeanours Premium

The end of price stability has unleashed an epidemic of rigid or sloppy thinking

Tuesday, 17 October, 2023

Chris Giles on Central Banks

Chris Giles on how to solve the Bank of England’s forecasting problem

In my first newsletter: advice for Ben Bernanke, former head of the US Federal Reserve

Wednesday, 11 October, 2023

UK economy

The hard economic reality for anyone wanting to govern Britain

While the prognosis is generally depressing, a much healthier environment is just about possible

Friday, 29 September, 2023

Eurozone inflation

Eurozone inflation hits 2-year low as US price pressures ease

Data helps steady bond markets and signals prospect of end to interest rate rises on both sides of Atlantic

Wednesday, 27 September, 2023

UK public finances

Beware fiscal rules that are easy answers to complicated problems

I was wrong to think that taking into account UK public sector assets, as well as debt, would be a silver bullet

Sunday, 24 September, 2023

Global Economy

A ‘milestone’ moment: why economists think the global cycle of rate rises is over

The world economy is showing signs of a slowdown, fuelling investors’ hopes that inflationary pressures are easing

Friday, 22 September, 2023

FT News Briefing podcast8 min listen

Rupert Murdoch steps down

Bank of England decided to hold interest rates at 5.25% yesterday

Thursday, 21 September, 2023

Labour Party UK

Labour vows to strengthen UK’s fiscal watchdog

Shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves says OBR would be given independent powers to produce forecasts

Thursday, 21 September, 2023

UK interest rates

How long will the Bank of England keep interest rates high?

Markets are betting on looser monetary policy late next year, but some economists say it could happen sooner

Thursday, 21 September, 2023

UK interest rates

Bank of England holds interest rates at 5.25%

Pound falls to six-month low after decision signals possible peak in borrowing costs

Wednesday, 20 September, 2023

UK inflation

Investors slash bets on UK rate rise after inflation falls to 6.7%

Economists expected higher oil prices to push up inflation

Tuesday, 19 September, 2023

Global economic growth

Central banks must keep rates high until inflation is tamed, says OECD

Organisation sees no case for monetary easing in rich nations despite economic strains and trading tensions

Monday, 18 September, 2023

UK politics

Liz Truss makes defiant return to political fray

UK’s shortest-serving PM unbowed in speech despite disastrous legacy and attacks from within own party

Monday, 18 September, 2023

UK interest rates

BoE expected to raise interest rates to 5.5%

Markets and economists anticipate the 15th increase in this cycle by the central bank to be the last

Thursday, 14 September, 2023

UK inflation

Cutting UK inflation won’t ease Conservative plight

Rishi Sunak and Jeremy Hunt will soon learn painful lesson that haunts Joe Biden in US

Tuesday, 12 September, 2023

UK economy

UK government weighs change to ‘triple lock’ to limit pension increase

Ministers look at a rise in line with earnings excluding bonuses — below the headline 8.5% rate

Monday, 11 September, 2023

UK interest rates

UK interest rates should rise further, says BoE official

Catherine Mann warns leaving cost of borrowing unchanged risks ‘further inflation persistence’

Chris Giles

Economics Commentator

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