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Forward guidance without a rationale may not anchor monetary policy expectations for long
Failure to strike a deal would imperil the status of the central institution of the global monetary system
Central bank’s Summary of Economic Projections may have spurred recent rises in Treasury yields
High short-term interest rates are exacerbating a natural desire to hunker down but there are better options
The economy is likely to weaken as markets internalise the significant likelihood that rates will stay higher for longer
Markets are challenging Janet Yellen’s policies by raising bond yields to levels that threaten to create a debt crunch
Governments have options to give a price cap on Russian exports more teeth
The impact of devaluations on trade, corporate earnings, prices and capital flows might now be more nuanced
Berlin has tightened deficit discipline as ‘bond vigilantes’ return
Deciding on the size of any investment can be more critical than identifying how attractive it is
Credit enhancements for debt issued by Kyiv would allow funds to be raised more quickly and on a larger scale
There are reasons to believe the economy is primed to deliver robust and durable expansion over the longer term
Profit margins in supply chains will limit the spread of downward pressure on prices through exports
Access to capital markets allows companies to overcome periods of significant stress
Staffers provide clues on how the central bank is interpreting the goals set by UK government
There are three supportive arguments for the battered US Treasury market
A smoother rate path is preferable to a sharp up and down, allowing more time to assess data
Neither seeking to maximise winners nor minimise losers is necessarily enough. It’s all in the balance
There are many opportunities ignored by investors chasing the Magnificent 7 stocks and AI themes
Markets need to recognise that the country is not reverting to its old economic and financial playbook
Since the inversion of the Treasury yield curve, investors have faced a dilemma
Reforms are needed to enable the provision of a secure and comfortable retirement for millions of people
Impracticable and costly, such a currency shift would not be much more than a convenient sleight of hand
There might not be a correlation between size and performance but there is a case for consolidation
Financial price moves are telling a different story to some of the more pessimistic forecasts for the country
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